4 Ways Rising Stocks Can Affect The Housing Market

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The stocks markets have been registering lots of volatility over the years, and this scares many investors a lot. This kind of panic among investors all around is bound to have great effects on to other industries too. Although there aren’t any complaints in the housing market about the same, they fear these effects are going to reach all the way deep into real estate investment too. Some things in the stock market would affect the housing market directly.

Financial Institution’s Interests And Lending Rates

The stock and the housing markets get into direct relationship through the credit people have to take up when buying homes. As most people wouldn’t afford full amounts at once, they have to pay a portion then approach their banks to cater for the rest through the credit program. Depending on the investment time and the health in domestic economies, the interest rates in these can either go up or down. The good and safe situation is when there is low volatility. Banks at this point have confidence in the borrowers and their capability to repay their loans and hence, they lower the interest rates. The high volatility in the markets on the other hand only proves uncertainty in the market; hence the banks increase their interest rates. All these changes are brought about by the increase or lowering of the stock market.

Encourage Investors In The Housing Market

There is another key correlation between the stock market volatility to an investor’s decision in investing. When the figures at the stock market go up, they encourage investors and more so people that would love to buy a home also do so then. When these figures fall, they make investors pessimistic and fearful of investing then. This is a good example of how stocks directly affect the housing market. An investor buying a home when the stock market indexes are going up can be taken as an asset that would even earn you more cash if sold off but the same bought during the low stock season feels like a liability. As the above effects take place in property buyers, there is a significant amount of such effects in the sellers too. By studying the stock markets, they would know when bets to advertise and sell their properties and when to hold back and wait. The banks as well determine their interest rates on mortgages by studying the stock market.

Demand And Supply Of The Houses Don’t Balance

The variation in the stock markets might create what investors call a housing bubble. This is a situation where builders keep building as many houses as they can, but the buyer’s demand keeps falling. Even though in falling stock markets, the interest rates are normally going up, there could be a remedy to all of this. When there are so many unsold properties compared to the number of prospective buyers, the lenders in this situation would have to change their policies and offer better terms to attract buyers. If the number of prospective buyers was higher than the properties in the market, the interest rates would have to go up to maximize the profits.

Huge Down Payments Required From The Prospective Property Buyers

When there is high volatility in the stock markets, the buyers are forced to pay up huge down payments before the financiers can approve the buyer’s mortgage request. This could be because of the low-interest rates getting charged at that time. However, the increase in interest rates discourages the taking of mortgage loans by the housing market investors. In this situation, many would rather look for funding from other sources, for instance, selling their assets. The stock market also affects this situation as well. In such a situation, the value of the property drops due to bad economic times and hence making it all hard again to sell assets and come up with enough equity to buy an investment property.

As the reasons above clearly state, it is true to say stock markets determine every move in the housing market industry. The prospective buyers would want to wait until the stocks re to his/her favor so that to make a profitable investment. The seller and the general property owners also study the market to make sure they also make profits after selling off their houses. The bank s and the financial institutions study the stocks as well so that to determine the amount of interest to install on any particular mortgage loan. They study the stocks also to determine the capability of the buyers to repay all their loans.

Around The World – Investing In Foreign Currency

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Tweed-Economics

The global currency market is by all estimates the largest liquid financial market dedicated to currency trading. The market is largely unregulated and private with no intermediaries to guarantee compliance with regulations. According to Investopedia, the most popular currencies on the market are the US Dollar, the Euro, Great British Pound and the Japanese Yen. 

The US Dollar tops the list as it is considered an intermediary in triangular currency transactions and the unofficial reserve currency of the world. The Euro is a major currency used by many countries in the Eurozone, including Germany, France and Italy. The currency also ranks as the second largest reserve currency and the most traded after the US dollar. The Japanese Yen is easily the most traded currency in the Asian continent, especially in the Pan–Pacific zone. 

How to trade in foreign currency 

With the advances in technology, foreign currency trading can be conducted from anywhere in the world. The leading currency trading centers of the world include New York, London, Tokyo, Frankfurt and Hong Kong. Because of its vast size, a number of entities have been established to promote the trade. According to the Balance, online brokerages and margin trading accounts have in the recent times grown their market share in an industry dominated by banks and institutional investors. Investors can make the most out of the trade by understanding the underlying risks and benefits of currency trading. Below are key benefits of trading in foreign currency: 

• Access to a large and liquid global currency market 

• 24-hour operation and diverse trading styles 

• Opportunity to diversify the investment portfolio 

• Low cost of trading 

• No central exchange 

In terms of volume, the foreign currency market averages over $5 trillion in daily trading. The two main risks of trading in foreign currency are high leverage and high levels of volatility. High levels of market volatility are often caused by negative economic reports and weakened markets. When volatility becomes an issue, central banks are sometimes forced to intervene in order to stabilize the currency and the market in general. The other downside is that foreign exchange market makes very small increments, which tend to create high leverage. To improve long term returns and mitigate the risks, an analysis of risk-management strategies is crucial. 

Foreign currency trading outlook 

A number of platforms and instruments have been developed to enhance currency trading. Forex investors can invest in currencies either directly or indirectly using vehicles like Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). ETF funds usually buy and manages currency portfolios on behalf of investors using effective trading tools like futures contracts and swaps. Investors who do not have a lot of money to put down can benefit from shorting strategies deployed by ETFs. The ETF is highly recommended for Investors who are not versed with the intricacies of foreign currency trading. 

For the inquisitive investor, the three leading ETFs for foreign currency trading are CurrencyShares, Wisdom Tree and ProShares. These ETFs trade in a wide range of currencies, including Chinese Yuan, Brazilian Real and Australian Dollar. If you are a seasoned investor, foreign currency trading can be interesting because you can make a side bet against the currency you are holding. Owing to insurance backup, Forex investors also have the opportunity to trade weak currencies without suffering undue negative exposures. 

According to a Forbes magazine report published in 2017, investors can make money in a volatile market through currency hedging. The strategy provides protection against losses emanating from negative currency movements, which often lead to uncertainty. For instance, as China moves into the marketplace with its reserve currency, investors worried about the future strength or weakness of the currency against the Euro and the dollar will find solace in hedging strategies. Concerns about China are heightened by prevalent stock bubbles, unpredictable real estate market and lack of transparency about the country’s debt. 

For investors in Europe, the prevailing low interest rates offers a perfect opportunity to off load currencies on the futures market at rates higher than the spot prices. The two leading currency hedge funds in the world today are WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund and iShares Currency Hedged MSCI EAFE ETF. According to the Forbes magazine, there are about 89 exchange traded funds with currency hedges aligned to their portfolios. These exchange funds account for about $40 billion of the $450 billion held in foreign stock ETFs. 

If you want to achieve long-term success in foreign currency trading, you need to learn continuously; acquaint yourself with prudent capital management techniques and understand the risks that lay I the way. It is also important to persevere because success may not be achieved overnight. For personalized training and assistance, you get in touch with an investment advisor who understands foreign currency investment and portfolio management.

Mortgage Rates and Indicators for 2019 – What To Look Out For

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Tweed-Economics

The American Dream is something people still believe in because it was sold as one of the best financial and life choices an individual or a family could do. However, people were misled into putting their lifetime savings and most people using loans to purchase a house in which they would live and raise a family. We say they were misled because a house does not provide you with income, there are maintenance and repair expenses throughout the life of the home, and you may even be put “under water” if the home ends up being less valuable than you bought it for. For that reason in this article we will be discussing the topic of mortgage rates, indicators, and what is already happening in 2019.

Mortgage Rates and Indicators for 2019

By definition, a mortgage rate or rates are the rate of interest that is charged by the specific lender loaning you the money to purchase the property. From late 2017 through the year of 2018 the delinquency rates fell more than before. We can give the credit to our current president, Donald Trump, for increasing employment and thus providing a better employment rate which raises income and lowers the delinquency even more. This will also result in home prices increases close to 5% in 2019.

Because not every year is the same, what happened the last year will not happen in 2019. This year there are four things we advice people to watch out for if they’re going to purchase a home or giving advice to someone who will. So here they are, key indicators to follow in 2019:

  • Contribution of Residential investment to GDP growth
  • Real house prices
  • Existing home sales
  • 30-year fixed mortgage rates

The residential investment contribution to the GDP is a major indicator and connection between the real estate cycle and the business one. It is a combination of new residential construction units, but also includes money spent on new additions to existing dwellings and any remodel money.

Real house prices change and vary widely no matter what period of time you look at. Whether the prices are real or adjusted for inflation the prices will change during the business cycles as well. These house prices will affect the lending market as well and so it is imperative to stay on top of every nuance that occurs.

Another indicator of how mortgage rates can function is the number of existing home sales for any given year. If there are more home sales than previous years and the pattern seems not to be slowing down, then what will or can happen to mortgage rates is that they will slowly begin to drop. Mortgage rates drop because of the amount of loan programs available respective to the amount of buyers looking for a loan. It’s a basic economic principle of supply and demand. Vice versa, when there are thousands of people looking for mortgage loans and only a few providing the loans, the rates will be a lot higher because there’s more demand than product available.

Rates by Company

Below are some of the forecasts for four of the major residential real estate mortgage lenders, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, NAR, MBA.

MBA

First Quarter 2019, MBA Mortgage Rate Forecast: 4.8%

Second Quarter 2019, MBA Mortgage Rate Forecast: 4.9%

Third Quarter 2019, MBA Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.0%

Fourth Quarter 2019, MBA Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.0%

Fannie Mae

First Quarter 2019, Fannie Mae Mortgage Rate Forecast: 4.8%

Second Quarter 2019, Fannie Mae Mortgage Rate Forecast: 4.8%

Third Quarter 2019, Fannie Mae Rate Forecast: 4.8%

Fourth Quarter 2019, Fannie Mae Rate Forecast: 4.8%

Freddie Mac

First Quarter 2019, Freddie Mac Mortgage Rate Forecast: 4.9%

Second Quarter 2019, Freddie Mac Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.0%

Third Quarter 2019, Freddie Mac Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.2%

Fourth Quarter 2019, Freddie Mac Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.3%

NAR

First Quarter 2019, NAR Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.0%

Second Quarter 2019, NAR Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.1%

Third Quarter 2019, NAR Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.2%

Fourth Quarter 2019, NAR Mortgage Rate Forecast: 5.3%

In conclusion in this article we discussed the topic of mortgage rates as well as the indicators that will show the way in which rates either increase or decrease in any given period of time. As of right now the mortgage rate industry is looking like it did in the earlier 2000s, though not as it was in 2008. Mortgage rates increase in 2017 but began to drop in 2018 now carrying this trend into 2019. To summarize this article as well as some of the numbers shown, we can say that mortgage rates will not be a threat to the real estate industry and it can be a great thing if the inventory improves while home prices begin to flatten out.

Forecasting the 2019 Financial Market

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As 2018 is coming to close, the state of the financial market is a hot topic. Many have made the prediction for another market crash. Reviewing the reports and trends from the 2018 quarters will help with forecasting the 2019 financial market. The Federal Reserve has an Open Market Committee who are responsible for setting targets for interest rates that have to be met in early November.

However, investors do not expect to see an increase until the mid-December conference. Therefore, investors have two things to consider:

Analyze the economic replicated data that the policymakers monitor and use the reports to create an idea of what the interest rates will increase to in the year 2019. The Fed has gathered that there will be approximately three rate increases for 2019, but several investors agree there will be only two rate increases. An important fact is the strength of the U.S. economy. Is the economy continuing to see any indications of solid economic growth or is the economy slowing down just as the people have suspected?

Increased Inflation

As for inflation, there are two different measurements to watch for such an indication of the federal rate increase to change. Without there being a drastic change from the recent 2% inflation trend then the market is headed toward an unpredictable short-term quarter.

Investors on Wall Street have been conducting surveys as well as strategists, financial advisors and retail investors with the hope that the U.S. stocks – ranging from short to long-term – will not prove to be unpredictable as the 2018 year has. Early November was the kick off for the earnings season. Investors have been conversing about how the impact of the large data variables, higher rates, increased raw material costs, lowered foreign currencies, tariffs and a decrease in demand from China. Investors are turning their heads toward 2019 predictions with this data instead of focusing on the third and fourth 2018 quarter earnings, which is not a bad idea.

Affected Gross Margins and Increased Interest Rates

Other factors for forecasting the 2019 market are the issues arising. This includes margin erosion. The margin erosion is closer to increased costs in wages and raw materials. Amazon has reported its $15 minimum wage will not interfere with the ending year quarter earnings, but there are flags indicating its effect on the 2019 financial market. Luckily, the higher costs with several companies are leaning toward increasing the prices for consumers instead. Stronger sales will create a strong margin in the market.

The increased consumer prices are another hopeful prediction for rising margins and increased revenues. In order to keep the revenue growth strong for 2019 is interest rates. If the interest rates remain higher on a permanent level, then revenue-driven earnings will rise. This may also result in the fall of valuation math. A crucial cause and effect for 2019. Tariff reports have investors on the outs with its effect. Many say tariffs are considered raw material all companies (only a select few). Those few companies have acknowledged their earnings may fall as a direct effect of tariffs.

David Zinsner commented that the expected gross margins will remain high in the first quarter of 2019. This statement was made by David in September of this year. The high margins will be linked to a healthy financial market. Now the end of the year quarters, effective September 24th, involving tariffs will have a 10 percent impact on the imports from China. The imports are estimated at $200 billion. Shifting the impact over the next three quarters is in the works.

The trade war with China has been scrutinized heavily by investors. This is a huge factor with the predictions for 2019’s financial market. The main concern is undermining the effect the trade war will have. Conservatives are hypothesizing a 25 percent tariff on imported goods from China. This would cause S&P 2019 earnings to slightly decrease from $170 to an estimated $159. This prediction suggests that 2019 fiscal earnings will be scientifically lower in comparison to 2018. As higher rates contribute to higher interest prices, the increased yields will be placed on many firms who have hefty debts.

How much of an impact does this cause in 2019? Several firms will be hit with the risks of stocks while others may see a rewarding rise with favorable stocks. This is why the prediction for increasing consumer prices is being pushed. Can the so-called market crash for 2019 come true? It is possible, but there is hope to retain a strong economy with increased stock prices

Building and Strengthening Your Financial Foundations For 2019

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2019 is upon us, and there is a growing financial concern happening with so many Americans that need to be addressed. Individuals are finding making ends meet strenuous and the wages in America don’t seem to be changing as fast as the accumulation of debt among its citizens. People are making horrible purchasing decisions, and although investing has become a wider known topic, not many are pursuing investment opportunities. All of these behaviors seem to be stemming from a “Living for today” mentality, which is dragging down the financial success of those seeking it.

With all of these elements affecting the finances of today’s hardworking people, and with drastic increases in debts per household, what’s the solution?

It’s time for people to start striving towards financial freedom by utilizing financial education tools to begin building foundations for healthier wallets. Instead of going shopping this holiday season and spending unnecessary amounts of money consuming the newest products, how about you invest in your financial future instead, to ensure a successful start to next year.

Understanding your Finances

The first step to building a solid financial foundation is understanding the current state of your finances. Are you drowning in debt? Do you have spontaneous spending habits that wreak havoc on your bank account? The health status of your funds is critical to know to remedy them and begin to build a growing financial portfolio properly.

Here are a few steps you can take to begin assessing the state of your current finances:

Monitor Money-in

What are your current streams of income and how well are they serving you? What type of monies do you receive on a regular basis that contributes to the balance of your bank account? These are essential questions to ask yourself when assessing the state of your finances. Income sources don’t necessarily have to be “jobs,” in today’s economy you can make money also providing shared services.

Do your income sources require you to spend money to make money? If so, it’s time to budget to see how much money you’re actually receiving regularly by calculating the possible expenses needed to complete your tasks. For example, if you provide ride-share services to help make ends meet, how much do you spend on gas in contrast to how much you actually earn?

Do you sell a product or service? What are the expenses that are needed to be spent regularly to produce your product or conduct your service? These are questions to consider when becoming familiar with your financial status. You may be surprised at the actual amount you earn compared to the idea you had of how much you make.

Monitor Money-out

Spending habits, bills, debt, personal care, and so many other things affect your balance on a daily, monthly, and yearly basis. These expenses have to be calculated before their time of payment so that you can adequately understand your financial state. Many individuals have expenses that are hidden and also expenses that can be controlled or eliminated altogether, freeing up monies for other uses.

Expenses can also stem from streams of income. To get to work and back home again, you have to spend on gas. When at work you may become hungry and have to purchase lunch. On the way home from work you may stop to buy groceries. Expenses arise throughout the day and being aware of them can keep them from completely ruining your bank account balance.

Monitor the money that you spend on a daily basis. Many banking apps have features which allow their users to control spending habits and expenses while providing solutions for freeing up cash from unnecessary expenses.

Create a Budget

Creating a budget can relieve the anxiety of financial uncertainty. A budget is a financial plan created by analyzing one’s finances and creating practical step-by-step instructions for achieving a financial goal. Budgets can be designed to accomplish many financial goals such as paying off debt, saving for your bucket list, or just creating more financial stability in your life.

Here are some steps for starting an effective budget:

Determine your income

To begin your budget, you must first determine how much you make on a weekly, monthly, and yearly basis. These will be the numbers you will be working to adjust each month higher than the last. Income can be determined as actual income or possible income. Actual income is the correct amount you make each month including extra funds or any monies which are added to your account.

Calculate all of your expenses

After you calculate your income, it’s time to calculate your expenses and subtract that number from your actual income. The amount of your expenses can be derived from your financial files, bank statements, receipts, and bills. It can be hard to accurately calculate the amount you spend each month without a banking app which can track your spending and bill pay. When calculating your expenses, for a more efficient budget add an extra 10 to 15 percent to the amount determined to be your expenses.

Calculate savings and investments

The number calculated from subtracting your expenses from your income should be your savings, although many consider this money to be expendable. Savings can be used to strengthen your financial foundation, and when applied to investments your savings can also grow your finances. Instead of spending this money, put it to work and create passive income by applying your savings to investment opportunities. Investment opportunities can provide a better use for your savings than the money just acquiring interest from sitting in a bank.

Set goals

Create financial goals for your budget, what is your financial mission? What are your intentions for your money within the next five years? This is the question you are asking yourself when setting your financial goals. Building a financial foundation and growing it to economic freedom should be your primary goal, while other goals will stem from this primary objective.

Record progress

Create a financial journal which records all of your monthly financial transactions to see your budget progress. By documenting your economic development, you will become inspired to create and achieve more financial goals.

Assess financial progress

As you record your progress, frequently correct financial habits that are affecting the achievement of your financial objective. Assessing progress might be to adjust your restaurant spending by cooking instead of going out to eat as frequently. Make sure to record all changes in habits which affect your budget.

Adjust budget and goals

When financial goals are accomplished; you should always adjust your budget to serve your financial growth better. Improving your budget frequently will ensure healthy financial progression and strengthen your financial foundation.

 

By applying some of these financial strategies, you can begin creating an effective financial plan that will help you to establish a secure and firm financial foundation for wealth building or just financial freedom in 2019.